Part of the Short-Term Rental Management Guide, step 1: learn
Why a Single "Your Home Could Earn" Number Misleads
Online calculators often give one annual figure. In New England that hides most of what matters. A ski home near Okemo may be full in February and quiet in April. A lake house may book every summer week and sit empty in March. A condo near a hospital may rent by the month at a lower nightly price with far fewer turnovers.
So build the estimate season by season, from homes that are genuinely like yours. Then treat the result as a range, not a promise. Weather, a bad snow year, a new listing down the road or a single bad review can move it.
Step 1: Find Honest Comparables
A comparable ("comp") is a listing a guest would consider instead of yours. Look on Airbnb and Vrbo for listings that match on:
- Location: the same town or the same drive time to the thing guests come for (the mountain, the lake, the hospital).
- Size: the same number of bedrooms and a similar guest count.
- Type and quality: house vs condo, updated vs dated, hot tub or not, waterfront or not.
- Track record: listings with many reviews, so you know they actually book.
Aim for 8 to 15 comps. Drop the luxury outlier with a private dock and the bare-bones cabin with no reviews. Note each comp's nightly price on a weekend and a weekday in each season, and whether the calendar looks booked.
Step 2: Use a Market Data Tool If You Want More Precision
Calendars only show what is blocked, not what was booked, and owners block dates for their own use. Paid market data tools estimate occupancy and rates from many listings at once. PriceLabs, for example, offers Market Dashboards that show occupancy, average daily rate (ADR), RevPAR, booking lead time, length of stay and booking pace, with custom comp sets. PriceLabs says one dashboard comes free with its dynamic pricing signup, with paid plans for more. Other tools in this space work in similar ways; compare a few in our roundup of pricing tools.
Two cautions. First, these tools estimate; they do not see every booking. Second, a market average mixes great listings with poor ones. Use the comp set that matches your home, not the whole town.
Step 3: Split the Year into Seasons
For a typical New England property, a workable split looks like this. Adjust the dates for your market.
| Season | Rough dates | What drives demand |
|---|---|---|
| Ski season | Mid December to March | Skiing, school vacation weeks, holidays |
| Mud season | April to May | Quietest stretch in most mountain and lake towns |
| Summer | June to August | Lakes, hiking, family vacations |
| Foliage | September to October | Leaf peeping, weddings, college weekends |
| Early winter | November to mid December | Thanksgiving, holiday visits, early ski days |
City and hospital markets are flatter, with business travel midweek and family visits on weekends and holidays.
Step 4: Estimate Rate and Occupancy for Each Season
For each season, write down two numbers from your comps:
- Average nightly rate: what similar homes actually charge, blending weekends and weekdays.
- Occupied nights: how many of the season's nights you can reasonably expect to fill.
Then multiply: rate x occupied nights = room revenue for that season. Add the seasons together. The terms ADR and occupancy are explained in our guide to occupancy, ADR and RevPAR, and our seasonal pricing guide covers minimum stays and orphan nights.
Be conservative in your first year. A new listing has no reviews, and reviews drive bookings.
Step 5: Account for Cleaning Fees
Most hosts charge a cleaning fee per stay. It is collected from the guest, but it mostly pays your cleaner, so do not count it as profit. To estimate it, divide occupied nights by your expected average stay length to get the number of stays, then multiply by the fee. Shorter stays mean more cleanings, more laundry and more wear.
Step 6: Subtract Platform Fees
As of October 2026, Airbnb's help center describes two fee structures:
- Single fee (host-only): most hosts pay 15.5% and the guest pays no separate service fee. Airbnb says this structure is mandatory for most hosts, including hosts who use property management software.
- Split fee: most hosts pay 3% and guests pay a service fee, which Airbnb says ranges from 14.1% to 16.5% of the booking subtotal. Airbnb says the split fee will no longer be available once all hosts are migrated to the single fee.
Vrbo and Booking.com have their own fee structures; check their current host help pages before you rely on a figure.
Step 7: Remember Taxes the Platform Collects Are Not Yours
Lodging taxes are paid by the guest. Airbnb's help center says it collects and remits New Hampshire's 8.5% Meals and Rooms (Rentals) Tax on reservations of 184 nights and shorter, and it collects Massachusetts and Vermont occupancy taxes too. That money passes through to the state. See our page on New Hampshire lodging taxes for what remains the owner's job.
A Worked Example (Hypothetical)
This example uses made-up numbers to show the method. It is not a forecast for any real home, and it is not what any home we manage earns.
Imagine a three-bedroom house a short drive from a ski area that also gets summer and foliage visitors.
| Season | Nights in season | Occupied nights (assumed) | Average rate (assumed) | Room revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ski season | 102 | 60 | $350 | $21,000 |
| Mud season | 61 | 12 | $175 | $2,100 |
| Summer | 92 | 45 | $250 | $11,250 |
| Foliage | 61 | 30 | $275 | $8,250 |
| Early winter | 49 | 10 | $200 | $2,000 |
| Year | 365 | 157 | $44,600 |
That is about 43% occupancy across the year, with a blended rate of about $284 a night.
Now the other lines:
- Cleaning fees. Assume an average stay of 3 nights, so about 52 stays. At an assumed $150 cleaning fee, guests pay $7,800 in cleaning fees, most of which goes to cleaning.
- Platform fee. Using the 15.5% host-only fee on room revenue plus cleaning fees ($52,400), the fee is about $8,122. That leaves about $44,278 before costs.
- Taxes. Lodging taxes the platform collects from guests are passed to the state and are left out of these totals.
From that $44,278 you would still pay cleaning, supplies and consumables, utilities, heating fuel, internet, plowing and lawn care, repairs, insurance, property tax, mortgage interest, any permit fees, and management if you hire it. Our guide to net vs gross rental income walks through those costs line by line.
Change one assumption and see what happens. If ski season fills 45 nights instead of 60, room revenue falls by $5,250. That sensitivity is the real lesson: know which season carries your year.
Sanity Checks Before You Trust Your Number
- Did you use your own personal-use weeks? Block them out before you count occupied nights.
- Does your occupancy beat your comps? If so, ask why. A new listing usually trails established ones.
- Did you include the quiet months? Mud season and early November are real.
- Are your rates for the house you have, not the house you plan to renovate into?
- Do the rules allow it? A town minimum-stay rule or condo restriction can cut your available nights.
Where to Go from Here
Start with our hub on renting your home on Airbnb in New England for the rules and setup steps that come next. If you would rather have someone local look at your home, New England Host Co offers a free property analysis through the contact page. We price the homes we manage daily with PriceLabs, using competitor pricing and market demand, but we never promise an income figure.
FAQ
How Accurate Is an Airbnb Revenue Estimate?
It is only as good as your comparables and assumptions. Treat it as a range, test a low case and a high case, and update it after your first season of real bookings.
Should I Count the Cleaning Fee as Income?
It is collected as part of the booking, but it mostly covers cleaning. Count it on both sides, as money in and as cleaning cost out.
What Platform Fee Should I Assume for Airbnb?
As of October 2026, Airbnb says most hosts on its single fee pay 15.5%, and most hosts on the older split fee pay 3% while guests pay a separate service fee. Check your own account settings to see which applies to you.
Do I Need a Paid Data Tool?
No. A careful comp study on Airbnb and Vrbo gets you most of the way. Paid tools add estimated occupancy and booking pace, which helps in markets with many listings.
Sources
- Airbnb Help Center: Airbnb service fees
- Airbnb Help Center: Occupancy tax collection and remittance in New Hampshire
- Airbnb Help Center: Occupancy tax collection and remittance in Massachusetts
- Airbnb Help Center: Occupancy tax collection and remittance in Vermont
- PriceLabs Market Dashboard
- New Hampshire RSA 78-A:6, Imposition of Tax